Fujieda MYFC 2-3 Shimizu S-Pulse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.4
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
52%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.29
Over 2.5
47%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.77
2-3 Goals
41%
1.92
4-5 Goals
24%
2.82
6+ Goals
11%
7.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.77 — our 24% vs market 16.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
15%
+9.3pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.4pp
52%
Away Win
65%
-12.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
40%
+13.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
60%
-13.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.5pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fujieda MYFC EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse EU Bookmakers 70%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
0.69/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/0.72
-25% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +4%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
185 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 541 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 17.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fujieda MYFC
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.06.2024 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 1-0 HT 0-0 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP2
30.09.2023 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 2-0 HT 0-0 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse JAP2
13.05.2023 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 5-0 HT 4-0 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP2
09.09.2015 Shimizu S-Pulse Shimizu S-Pulse 2-4 HT 2-2 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fujieda MYFC
2-3
AWAY Shimizu S-Pulse
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
337 Passes 395
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fujieda MYFC vs Shimizu S-Pulse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shimizu S-Pulse nicked a narrow win over Fujieda MYFC 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shimizu S-Pulse as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Fujieda MYFC had 48% of the ball to Shimizu S-Pulse's 52%, shots finished 10-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Fujieda MYFC and 2.00 for Shimizu S-Pulse.

What was the final score of Fujieda MYFC vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Fujieda MYFC 2-3 Shimizu S-Pulse in the Japan - J2 League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fujieda MYFC vs Shimizu S-Pulse?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shimizu S-Pulse win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Fujieda MYFC 24%, draw 23%, Shimizu S-Pulse 52%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shimizu S-Pulse) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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