Kamatamare Sanuki 1-4 Matsumoto Yamaga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+3.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.0pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kamatamare Sanuki EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 37%
-14% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
0.95/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.34
-31% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
293 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses 20.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kamatamare Sanuki
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.04.2024 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 2-1 HT 0-0 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki JAP3
26.11.2023 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki 0-0 HT 0-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
17.06.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 2-0 HT 1-0 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki JAP3
27.08.2022 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 1-0 HT 1-0 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki JAP3
13.03.2022 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki 1-2 HT 1-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
20.09.2014 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 0-0 HT 0-0 Kamatamare Sanuki Kamatamare Sanuki JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kamatamare Sanuki
1-4
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Kamatamare Sanuki vs Matsumoto Yamaga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matsumoto Yamaga cruised past Kamatamare Sanuki 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Matsumoto Yamaga found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kamatamare Sanuki had 58% of the ball to Matsumoto Yamaga's 42%, shots finished 15-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Matsumoto Yamaga led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Kamatamare Sanuki and 1.17 for Matsumoto Yamaga.

What was the final score of Kamatamare Sanuki vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Kamatamare Sanuki 1-4 Matsumoto Yamaga in the Japan - J3 League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kamatamare Sanuki vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Matsumoto Yamaga win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kamatamare Sanuki 36%, draw 28%, Matsumoto Yamaga 37%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Matsumoto Yamaga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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