Nara Club 2-2 Tegevajaro Miyazaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nara Club EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +21%
1.41/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.78
+9% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +50%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
275 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nara Club
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2-1 HT 0-1 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
01.10.2023 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-1 HT 0-0 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
03.05.2023 Nara Club Nara Club 3-0 HT 2-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nara Club
2-2
AWAY Tegevajaro Miyazaki
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 9
176 Passes 292
67% Pass Accuracy 79%
6 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nara Club vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nara Club and Tegevajaro Miyazaki couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Nara Club had 39% of the ball to Tegevajaro Miyazaki's 61%, shots finished 8-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nara Club had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nara Club and 0.67 for Tegevajaro Miyazaki.

What was the final score of Nara Club vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Nara Club 2-2 Tegevajaro Miyazaki in the Japan - J3 League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nara Club vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tegevajaro Miyazaki win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nara Club 35%, draw 27%, Tegevajaro Miyazaki 38%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tegevajaro Miyazaki), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tegevajaro Miyazaki) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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