Fortaleza CEIF 1-3 Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.51
Over 2.5
34%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.6pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.2pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.8pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.2pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 39%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +21%
0.98/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.99
-18% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
260 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
15.0 Crosses 16.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Santa Fe
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
298 Passes 195
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
10.03.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-0 HT 1-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
1-3
AWAY Santa Fe
0.59 xG 0.36
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
307 Passes 204
78% Pass Accuracy 67%
6 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fortaleza CEIF vs Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Fe got the better of Fortaleza CEIF 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 32% — and on the day Santa Fe made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fortaleza CEIF had 58% of the ball to Santa Fe's 42%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.59 to 0.36.

What was the final score of Fortaleza CEIF vs Santa Fe?

Fortaleza CEIF 1-3 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza CEIF vs Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza CEIF win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza CEIF 36%, draw 31%, Santa Fe 32%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOL More Colombia - Primera
22 Sep 2024
01:45 Deportivo Cali vs La Equidad Analysis →
22:00 Independiente Medellin vs Deportes Tolima Analysis →