Independiente Medellin vs Deportes Tolima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Independiente Medellin v Deportes Tolima — Team-Based Signals
Independiente Medellin vs Deportes Tolima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Independiente Medellin 0-1 Deportes Tolima — Actual Match Statistics
Deportes Tolima edged past Independiente Medellin 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Deportes Tolima as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Independiente Medellin had 46% of the ball to Deportes Tolima's 54%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.31 to 0.55.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Independiente Medellin and 1.00 for Deportes Tolima.
Independiente Medellin vs Deportes Tolima Result & Final Score
Independiente Medellin 0 - 1 Deportes Tolima in the Colombia - Primera on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Independiente Medellin vs Deportes Tolima Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 24%, draw 32%, Deportes Tolima 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportes Tolima), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.