Leones Negros Udeg 3-3 Atlante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
29%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.56
Over 2.5
51%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.96
No
46%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.2pp
34%
Draw
29%
+4.8pp
29%
Away Win
35%
-6.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
60%
-11.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
40%
+11.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.6pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlante EU Bookmakers 39%
-12% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +3%
0.94/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.79
-27% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +64%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leones Negros Udeg
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Atlante
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
13.05.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 1-2 HT 1-1 Atlante Atlante MEK2
09.05.2024 Atlante Atlante 2-0 HT 0-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
22.01.2024 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 0-0 HT 0-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
26.11.2023 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 0-1 HT 0-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
23.11.2023 Atlante Atlante 3-1 HT 1-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
25.07.2023 Atlante Atlante 1-0 HT 1-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
POST-MATCH Leones Negros Udeg vs Atlante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones Negros Udeg and Atlante couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 34% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlante led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Leones Negros Udeg and 1.50 for Atlante.

What was the final score of Leones Negros Udeg vs Atlante?

Leones Negros Udeg 3-3 Atlante in the Mexico - Primera A on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leones Negros Udeg vs Atlante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Leones Negros Udeg 37%, draw 34%, Atlante 29%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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