Rana 1-0 Trygg/Lade — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.49
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
15%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
23%
Over 2.5
77%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.33
No
37%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
30%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
13%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
62%
+3.9pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.1pp
15%
Away Win
19%
-4.0pp
63%
BTTS Yes
71%
-8.1pp
37%
BTTS No
29%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rana EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Trygg/Lade EU Bookmakers 22%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
2.85/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/2.36
+10% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
487 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rana
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Trygg/Lade
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.06.2024 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade 4-1 HT 1-1 Rana Rana NOR4
31.07.2022 Rana Rana 2-0 HT 0-0 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade NOR4
23.07.2022 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade 3-2 HT 2-1 Rana Rana NOR4
POST-MATCH Rana vs Trygg/Lade
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rana squeezed past Trygg/Lade 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rana as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (77%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Trygg/Lade led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Rana and 2.33 for Trygg/Lade.

What was the final score of Rana vs Trygg/Lade?

Rana 1-0 Trygg/Lade in the Norway - 3rd Division on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rana vs Trygg/Lade?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rana win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Rana 66%, draw 19%, Trygg/Lade 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rana) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rana) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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