Stabaek II 1-1 Tiller — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.68
Over 2.5
65%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.29
No
35%
3.23
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.5pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.4pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+3.1pp
35%
Under 2.5
24%
+11.8pp
65%
Over 2.5
76%
-11.8pp
64%
BTTS Yes
73%
-8.8pp
36%
BTTS No
27%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stabaek II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Tiller EU Bookmakers 36%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.42/2.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.51/1.98
-34% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
468 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 435 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stabaek II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Tiller
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
24.06.2024 Tiller Tiller 2-2 HT 2-1 Stabaek II Stabaek II NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stabaek II
1-1
AWAY Tiller
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stabaek II vs Tiller
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stabaek II and Tiller couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Stabaek II at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (64%) landed while over 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

On the day, Stabaek II had 51% of the ball to Tiller's 49%, shots finished 6-15.

What was the final score of Stabaek II vs Tiller?

Stabaek II 1-1 Tiller in the Norway - 3rd Division on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stabaek II vs Tiller?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stabaek II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Stabaek II 41%, draw 23%, Tiller 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stabaek II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stabaek II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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