Lech Poznan 1-0 Slask Wroclaw — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.9
No
60%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.73
6+ Goals
9%
15.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 30% vs market 26.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.1
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.9
X/1
17%
3.75
X/2
8%
10.2
X/X
11%
5.01
2/1
8%
24.45
2/2
9%
8.37
2/X
9%
16.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-3.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.6pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lech Poznan EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Slask Wroclaw EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +27%
1.66/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.35
-5% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
387 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
22.4 Crosses 14.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lech Poznan
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Slask Wroclaw
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.34 xG 0.77
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
492 Passes 234
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 3
24.02.2024 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0-0 HT 0-0 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
20.08.2023 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 3-1 HT 1-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
26.02.2023 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 2-1 HT 1-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
19.10.2022 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1-3 HT 1-1 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POLK
14.08.2022 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0-1 HT 0-1 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
01.04.2022 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 0-1 HT 0-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lech Poznan
1-0
AWAY Slask Wroclaw
2.02 xG 0.27
67% Ball Possession 33%
20 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
405 Passes 165
84% Pass Accuracy 67%
30 Box Touches 7
33 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lech Poznan vs Slask Wroclaw
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lech Poznan nicked a narrow win over Slask Wroclaw 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lech Poznan as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Lech Poznan had 67% of the ball to Slask Wroclaw's 33%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 2.02 to 0.27 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Lech Poznan's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slask Wroclaw led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Lech Poznan and 1.50 for Slask Wroclaw.

What was the final score of Lech Poznan vs Slask Wroclaw?

Lech Poznan 1-0 Slask Wroclaw in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lech Poznan vs Slask Wroclaw?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lech Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Lech Poznan 53%, draw 25%, Slask Wroclaw 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lech Poznan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lech Poznan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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