Rakow Czestochowa 5-1 Zaglebie Lubin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.14
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.73
6+ Goals
10%
15.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.96
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.15
X/1
19%
3.58
X/2
7%
11.6
X/X
10%
5.2
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
11%
9.78
2/X
9%
18.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-9.7pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.4pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-2.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+2.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.9pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rakow Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin EU Bookmakers 19%
+1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +1%
1.95/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.73
-6% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
19.7 Crosses 14.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.25 xG 1.15
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
386 Passes 272
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
39 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
04.05.2024 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 2-0 HT 1-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
05.11.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 5-0 HT 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
27.05.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-1 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
12.11.2022 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-2 HT 0-2 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
14.05.2022 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
27.11.2021 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 4-0 HT 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
5-1
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
1.79 xG 0.38
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
306 Passes 263
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 12
8 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Rakow Czestochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rakow Czestochowa cruised past Zaglebie Lubin 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rakow Czestochowa as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rakow Czestochowa had 51% of the ball to Zaglebie Lubin's 49%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.79 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rakow Czestochowa had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Rakow Czestochowa and 0.83 for Zaglebie Lubin.

What was the final score of Rakow Czestochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Rakow Czestochowa 5-1 Zaglebie Lubin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rakow Czestochowa vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Rakow Czestochowa 51%, draw 25%, Zaglebie Lubin 23%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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