Stal Mielec 1-0 Motor Lublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.21
6+ Goals
9%
20.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.56
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
13%
5.12
X/2
10%
5.81
X/X
14%
4.07
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
17%
4.26
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.3pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Mielec EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Motor Lublin EU Bookmakers 36%
+15% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+8% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
342 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 74%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.9 Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Mielec
1-0
AWAY Motor Lublin
1.42 xG 2.11
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
387 Passes 357
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 31
17 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stal Mielec vs Motor Lublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stal Mielec squeezed past Motor Lublin 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Stal Mielec made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Stal Mielec had 52% of the ball to Motor Lublin's 48%, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 1.42 to 2.11 — the balance of chances actually favoured Motor Lublin.

What was the final score of Stal Mielec vs Motor Lublin?

Stal Mielec 1-0 Motor Lublin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Mielec vs Motor Lublin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stal Mielec win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Stal Mielec 37%, draw 28%, Motor Lublin 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stal Mielec), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stal Mielec) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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