Sporting CP 3-0 AVS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 22 Sep 2024

Sporting CP
3-0 HT 2-0
AVS
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 4-1 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2025/2026

Sporting CP vs AVS Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.16
Draw
17%
7.13
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.14
Over 2.5
64%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.99
No
47%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
8.12
2-3 Goals
31%
2.32
4-5 Goals
38%
2.38
6+ Goals
12%
4.17
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1.23
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
34.5
X/1
20%
3.58
X/2
4%
34.5
X/X
8%
13.25
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.7
2/2
6%
28.0
2/X
3%
33.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 8% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
82%
-14.1pp
17%
Draw
11%
+5.7pp
15%
Away Win
7%
+8.5pp
36%
Under 2.5
28%
+7.5pp
64%
Over 2.5
72%
-7.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
46%
+7.1pp
47%
BTTS No
54%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sporting CP v AVS — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY AVS EU Bookmakers 9%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
2.44/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.84
+9% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +20%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
491 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
23.6 Crosses 16.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Sporting CP 3-0 AVS — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP
3-0
AWAY AVS
1.76 xG 0.07
64% Ball Possession 36%
23 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 0
9 Corners 1
587 Passes 299
91% Pass Accuracy 82%
56 Box Touches 5
30 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sporting CP vs AVS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP cruised past AVS 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sporting CP had 64% of the ball to AVS's 36%, shots finished 23-4, expected goals 1.76 to 0.07.

What was the final score of Sporting CP vs AVS?

Sporting CP 3-0 AVS in the Portugal - Premier League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP vs AVS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP 68%, draw 17%, AVS 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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