Gil Vicente 1-1 Casa Pia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.42
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.96
6+ Goals
9%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.96
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.05
X/1
10%
4.36
X/2
10%
7.0
X/X
16%
3.78
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
12%
5.78
2/X
8%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.4pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.1pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.4pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Casa Pia EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.40/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.16
+5% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 74%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
20.5 Crosses 17.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gil Vicente
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Casa Pia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
1.27 xG 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
422 Passes 299
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Casa Pia Casa Pia 0-0 HT 0-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
02.10.2023 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 2-0 HT 0-0 Casa Pia Casa Pia POR
27.05.2023 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-0 HT 0-0 Casa Pia Casa Pia POR
22.01.2023 Casa Pia Casa Pia 1-3 HT 0-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente
1-1
AWAY Casa Pia
1.22 xG 1.51
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 2
404 Passes 280
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
32 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gil Vicente and Casa Pia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 28% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Gil Vicente had 57% of the ball to Casa Pia's 43%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.22 to 1.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gil Vicente had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gil Vicente and 0.25 for Casa Pia.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia?

Gil Vicente 1-1 Casa Pia in the Portugal - Premier League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gil Vicente win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente 40%, draw 31%, Casa Pia 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gil Vicente), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gil Vicente) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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