Casa Pia 0-0 Gil Vicente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 3 Mar 2024

Casa Pia
0-0 HT 0-0
Gil Vicente
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
Portugal - Premier League – 2023/2024

Casa Pia vs Gil Vicente Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.37
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.09
6+ Goals
7%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.8
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.2
X/1
11%
5.03
X/2
14%
5.47
X/X
12%
3.76
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
4.27
2/X
6%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.8pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.4pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.2pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Casa Pia v Gil Vicente — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casa Pia EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -28%
1.34/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.30
-39% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
281 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 80%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
21.6 Crosses 19.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4

Casa Pia vs Gil Vicente Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Casa Pia
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Gil Vicente
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.97 xG 1.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
283 Passes 456
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.10.2023 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 2-0 HT 0-0 Casa Pia Casa Pia POR
27.05.2023 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente 1-0 HT 0-0 Casa Pia Casa Pia POR
22.01.2023 Casa Pia Casa Pia 1-3 HT 0-0 Gil Vicente Gil Vicente POR

Casa Pia 0-0 Gil Vicente — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casa Pia
0-0
AWAY Gil Vicente
1.07 xG 0.57
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
348 Passes 317
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Casa Pia vs Gil Vicente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casa Pia and Gil Vicente fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Casa Pia had 51% of the ball to Gil Vicente's 49%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.07 to 0.57.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gil Vicente led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Casa Pia and 2.00 for Gil Vicente.

What was the final score of Casa Pia vs Gil Vicente?

Casa Pia 0-0 Gil Vicente in the Portugal - Premier League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casa Pia vs Gil Vicente?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gil Vicente win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Casa Pia 34%, draw 28%, Gil Vicente 37%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gil Vicente) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gil Vicente) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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