Portimonense 0-0 Vizela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.92
6+ Goals
9%
17.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 33% vs market 27.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.54
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
16%
5.21
X/2
15%
5.83
X/X
15%
4.24
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
11%
4.14
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.3pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+5.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-5.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.6pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Vizela EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.33/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.19
-17% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
19.9 Crosses 17.5
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portimonense
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Vizela
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.91 xG 0.95
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
269 Passes 298
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Vizela Vizela 2-3 HT 0-2 Portimonense Portimonense POR
18.03.2023 Portimonense Portimonense 0-1 HT 0-0 Vizela Vizela POR
01.10.2022 Vizela Vizela 1-0 HT 1-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR
27.02.2022 Vizela Vizela 1-1 HT 1-1 Portimonense Portimonense POR
26.09.2021 Portimonense Portimonense 0-0 HT 0-0 Vizela Vizela POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense
0-0
AWAY Vizela
1.32 xG 0.88
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 8
271 Passes 413
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Portimonense vs Vizela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portimonense and Vizela played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Portimonense had 40% of the ball to Vizela's 60%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.32 to 0.88.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Vizela led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Portimonense and 1.00 for Vizela.

What was the final score of Portimonense vs Vizela?

Portimonense 0-0 Vizela in the Portugal - Premier League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense vs Vizela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portimonense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Portimonense 38%, draw 30%, Vizela 32%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Portimonense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portimonense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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