Radnicki Nis 3-2 Spartak Subotica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.6pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+6.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.0pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnicki Nis EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Subotica EU Bookmakers 25%
-8% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +9%
1.51/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.49
-1% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 72%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
25.2 Crosses 16.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnicki Nis
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Spartak Subotica
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.18 xG 1.04
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
299 Passes 269
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 21
30 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.05.2024 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 3-1 HT 3-0 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
03.04.2024 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 1-2 HT 0-1 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
28.10.2023 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 1-1 HT 0-1 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
22.05.2023 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 0-1 HT 0-1 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
19.03.2023 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica 0-1 HT 0-1 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis SIRP
19.09.2022 Radnicki Nis Radnicki Nis 3-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Subotica Spartak Subotica SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnicki Nis
3-2
AWAY Spartak Subotica
1.83 xG 1.26
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
235 Passes 346
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Box Touches 30
7 Crosses 39
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Radnicki Nis vs Spartak Subotica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnicki Nis squeezed past Spartak Subotica 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Radnicki Nis as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Radnicki Nis had 41% of the ball to Spartak Subotica's 59%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 1.83 to 1.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Radnicki Nis had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Radnicki Nis and 1.00 for Spartak Subotica.

What was the final score of Radnicki Nis vs Spartak Subotica?

Radnicki Nis 3-2 Spartak Subotica in the Serbia - Super League on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnicki Nis vs Spartak Subotica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnicki Nis win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Radnicki Nis 44%, draw 28%, Spartak Subotica 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radnicki Nis) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Radnicki Nis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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