Tuzlaspor 2-1 Altay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.64
Draw
33%
3.54
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
57%
-16.0pp
33%
Draw
25%
+7.8pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tuzlaspor EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Altay EU Bookmakers 21%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +63% / +63%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+24% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tuzlaspor
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Altay
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.02 xG 1.40
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
276 Passes 311
74% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.01.2024 Tuzlaspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Altay Altay T1L
20.08.2023 Altay Altay 1-0 HT 0-0 Tuzlaspor T1L
20.05.2023 Altay Altay 3-1 HT 2-1 Tuzlaspor T1L
24.12.2022 Tuzlaspor 4-2 HT 2-2 Altay Altay T1L
07.03.2021 Altay Altay 5-0 HT 1-0 Tuzlaspor T1L
30.12.2020 Tuzlaspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Altay Altay T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tuzlaspor
2-1
AWAY Altay
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Tuzlaspor vs Altay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tuzlaspor edged past Altay 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tuzlaspor as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tuzlaspor had 57% of the ball to Altay's 43%, shots finished 10-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Altay led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tuzlaspor and 2.00 for Altay.

What was the final score of Tuzlaspor vs Altay?

Tuzlaspor 2-1 Altay in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tuzlaspor vs Altay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tuzlaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tuzlaspor 41%, draw 33%, Altay 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tuzlaspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tuzlaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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