Alianza Atletico 3-0 Ayacucho FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 22 Sep 2025

📅22/09/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.68
Over 2.5
53%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.19
No
51%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-7.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+5.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.2pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Atletico EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Ayacucho FC EU Bookmakers 18%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +17%
1.61/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.56
-20% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
341 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 74%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
22.6 Crosses 15.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Atletico
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ayacucho FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.67 xG 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
181 Passes 261
64% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.04.2025 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
19.09.2022 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
01.05.2022 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 2-1 HT 1-0 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC PER
21.09.2021 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
16.06.2021 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PERKB
15.04.2021 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 0-1 HT 0-0 Ayacucho FC Ayacucho FC PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Atletico
3-0
AWAY Ayacucho FC
2.05 xG 0.44
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 4
198 Passes 229
71% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alianza Atletico vs Ayacucho FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Atletico cruised past Ayacucho FC 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alianza Atletico as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Alianza Atletico had 43% of the ball to Ayacucho FC's 57%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 2.05 to 0.44.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Atletico had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Alianza Atletico and 0.67 for Ayacucho FC.

What was the final score of Alianza Atletico vs Ayacucho FC?

Alianza Atletico 3-0 Ayacucho FC in the Peru - Premier League on 22/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Atletico vs Ayacucho FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Alianza Atletico 54%, draw 25%, Ayacucho FC 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Atletico), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alianza Atletico) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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