Alianza Lima vs Comerciantes Unidos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Lima v Comerciantes Unidos — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Lima vs Comerciantes Unidos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Alianza Lima
PER
5-1
HT 2-1
Comerciantes Unidos
PER
3-0
HT 2-0
Alianza Lima
PER
Alianza Lima 4-0 Comerciantes Unidos — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Lima ran out comfortable winners over Comerciantes Unidos 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Alianza Lima as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
On the day, Alianza Lima had 69% of the ball to Comerciantes Unidos's 31%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 2.38 to 0.77.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Alianza Lima and 1.17 for Comerciantes Unidos.
What was the final score of Alianza Lima vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Alianza Lima 4-0 Comerciantes Unidos in the Peru - Premier League on 22/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Lima vs Comerciantes Unidos?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Alianza Lima 73%, draw 15%, Comerciantes Unidos 12%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Lima), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.