Bristol Rovers 1-0 Shrewsbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.02
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.87
6+ Goals
11%
17.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.04
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
15%
4.71
X/2
12%
6.59
X/X
13%
4.35
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
17%
4.9
2/X
6%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-7.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+6.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol Rovers EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +16%
1.24/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.10
+6% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
389 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 69%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
19.3 Crosses 15.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol Rovers
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Shrewsbury
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.45 xG 0.89
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
298 Passes 232
71% Pass Accuracy 66%
19 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2024 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
16.09.2023 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 0-2 HT 0-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
02.05.2023 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 2-1 HT 1-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
27.08.2022 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 1-1 HT 0-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
27.02.2021 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
20.10.2020 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 0-1 HT 0-1 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bristol Rovers
1-0
AWAY Shrewsbury
1.73 xG 1.45
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 10
182 Passes 224
64% Pass Accuracy 67%
29 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bristol Rovers vs Shrewsbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bristol Rovers squeezed past Shrewsbury 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 36% — and on the day Bristol Rovers made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bristol Rovers had 45% of the ball to Shrewsbury's 55%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 1.73 to 1.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bristol Rovers had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bristol Rovers and 0.67 for Shrewsbury.

What was the final score of Bristol Rovers vs Shrewsbury?

Bristol Rovers 1-0 Shrewsbury in the England - 1st Division on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol Rovers vs Shrewsbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bristol Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bristol Rovers 37%, draw 28%, Shrewsbury 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bristol Rovers), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bristol Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5
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