Stockport County 1-1 Northampton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 22 Oct 2024

Stockport County
1-1 HT 0-0
Northampton Town
📅22/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Stockport County vs Northampton Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.35
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.53
6+ Goals
11%
13.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.08
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
11%
16.45
X/1
22%
3.7
X/2
10%
10.05
X/X
9%
5.4
2/1
6%
23.15
2/2
9%
8.09
2/X
5%
17.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-7.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.8pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stockport County v Northampton Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockport County EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Northampton Town EU Bookmakers 22%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.96/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.32
-17% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -2%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
430 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 211 · 67%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
18.7 Crosses 14.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

Stockport County vs Northampton Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stockport County
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Northampton Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.80 xG 0.87
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
202 Passes 188
58% Pass Accuracy 54%
22 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.01.2023 Stockport County Stockport County 2-0 HT 1-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN2
24.09.2022 Northampton Town Northampton Town 2-1 HT 0-1 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
25.04.2011 Stockport County Stockport County 2-2 HT 1-1 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN2
04.12.2010 Northampton Town Northampton Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
21.03.2009 Northampton Town Northampton Town 4-0 HT 2-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN1
16.09.2008 Stockport County Stockport County 1-1 HT 0-1 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1

Stockport County 1-1 Northampton Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stockport County
1-1
AWAY Northampton Town
1.92 xG 0.49
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
521 Passes 222
86% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Stockport County vs Northampton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockport County and Northampton Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Stockport County at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Stockport County had 66% of the ball to Northampton Town's 34%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.92 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Northampton Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stockport County and 1.83 for Northampton Town.

What was the final score of Stockport County vs Northampton Town?

Stockport County 1-1 Northampton Town in the England - 1st Division on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockport County vs Northampton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Stockport County 50%, draw 25%, Northampton Town 25%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stockport County) ✗ Over 2.5
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