Odisha FC 2-1 East Bengal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.33
Over 2.5
67%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.5
No
37%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
4.87
2-3 Goals
44%
1.94
4-5 Goals
24%
2.8
6+ Goals
16%
7.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.1pp
33%
Under 2.5
39%
-6.0pp
67%
Over 2.5
61%
+6.0pp
63%
BTTS Yes
62%
+0.9pp
37%
BTTS No
38%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Odisha FC EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY East Bengal EU Bookmakers 29%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -17%
1.69/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.15
+47% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -16%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
313 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 80%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
16.0 Crosses 16.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Odisha FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY East Bengal
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.50 xG 0.72
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
376 Passes 247
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
29.02.2024 Odisha FC Odisha FC 2-1 HT 1-1 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
28.01.2024 East Bengal East Bengal 3-2 HT 0-1 Odisha FC Odisha FC HINSK
22.12.2023 East Bengal East Bengal 0-0 HT 0-0 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
07.01.2023 Odisha FC Odisha FC 3-1 HT 2-1 East Bengal East Bengal HİNSL
18.11.2022 East Bengal East Bengal 2-4 HT 2-0 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
07.02.2022 East Bengal East Bengal 1-2 HT 0-1 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Odisha FC
2-1
AWAY East Bengal
0.93 xG 1.41
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
291 Passes 243
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Odisha FC vs East Bengal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Odisha FC squeezed past East Bengal 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Odisha FC as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Odisha FC had 53% of the ball to East Bengal's 47%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 0.93 to 1.41 — on chances, East Bengal could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Odisha FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Odisha FC and 1.33 for East Bengal.

What was the final score of Odisha FC vs East Bengal?

Odisha FC 2-1 East Bengal in the India - Super League on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Odisha FC vs East Bengal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Odisha FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Odisha FC 48%, draw 23%, East Bengal 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Odisha FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Odisha FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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