Atletico Grau vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Grau v Deportivo Garcilaso — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Grau vs Deportivo Garcilaso Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Deportivo Garcilaso
PER
2-0
HT 0-0
Atletico Grau
PER
Atletico Grau 2-2 Deportivo Garcilaso — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Grau and Deportivo Garcilaso couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Atletico Grau at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Atletico Grau had 78% of the ball to Deportivo Garcilaso's 22%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 1.32 to 0.98.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Deportivo Garcilaso led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Atletico Grau and 1.00 for Deportivo Garcilaso.
What was the final score of Atletico Grau vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Atletico Grau 2-2 Deportivo Garcilaso in the Peru - Premier League on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Grau vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Grau win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Atletico Grau 52%, draw 27%, Deportivo Garcilaso 21%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.