Deportivo Garcilaso 0-0 Atletico Grau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.96
No
43%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-10.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+8.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
47%
+9.8pp
43%
BTTS No
53%
-9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Grau EU Bookmakers 22%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.48/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.72
+0% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
344 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
22.5 Crosses 17.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Atletico Grau
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.77 xG 0.88
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
231 Passes 372
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 5
30.07.2023 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
25.02.2023 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 2-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Garcilaso
0-0
AWAY Atletico Grau
1.16 xG 1.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
24 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
289 Passes 239
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
29 Box Touches 17
30 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico Grau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Garcilaso and Atletico Grau played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Garcilaso at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Garcilaso had 54% of the ball to Atletico Grau's 46%, shots finished 24-12, expected goals 1.16 to 1.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Deportivo Garcilaso had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportivo Garcilaso and 0.50 for Atletico Grau.

What was the final score of Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico Grau?

Deportivo Garcilaso 0-0 Atletico Grau in the Peru - Premier League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico Grau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Garcilaso win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Garcilaso 46%, draw 26%, Atletico Grau 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Garcilaso), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Garcilaso) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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