UTC Cajamarca vs Melgar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
UTC Cajamarca v Melgar — Team-Based Signals
UTC Cajamarca vs Melgar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
UTC Cajamarca
PER
0-0
HT 0-0
Melgar
PER
1-0
HT 0-0
UTC Cajamarca
PER
3-1
HT 0-0
Melgar
PER
0-1
HT 0-1
UTC Cajamarca
PER
3-1
HT 1-0
Melgar
PER
UTC Cajamarca 2-6 Melgar — Actual Match Statistics
Melgar ran out comfortable winners over UTC Cajamarca 6-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and on the day Melgar made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, UTC Cajamarca had 57% of the ball to Melgar's 43%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.68 to 3.18.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, UTC Cajamarca had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for UTC Cajamarca and 0.67 for Melgar.
What was the final score of UTC Cajamarca vs Melgar?
UTC Cajamarca 2-6 Melgar in the Peru - Premier League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for UTC Cajamarca vs Melgar?
Before kick-off our model rated an Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split UTC Cajamarca 36%, draw 25%, Melgar 39%. The final score 2-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melgar), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.