Cesar Vallejo 1-1 Cultural San — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.91
Over 2.5
41%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.75
No
58%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
24%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.9pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cesar Vallejo EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Cultural San EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
1.28/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.78
+16% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +81% / -54%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
323 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 72%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
18.2 Crosses 24.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cesar Vallejo
1-1
AWAY Cultural San
1.17 xG 1.06
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 9
316 Passes 156
82% Pass Accuracy 64%
28 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cesar Vallejo vs Cultural San
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cesar Vallejo and Cultural San couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cesar Vallejo at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Cesar Vallejo had 61% of the ball to Cultural San's 39%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 1.17 to 1.06.

What was the final score of Cesar Vallejo vs Cultural San?

Cesar Vallejo 1-1 Cultural San in the Peru - Premier League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cesar Vallejo vs Cultural San?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cesar Vallejo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Cesar Vallejo 49%, draw 27%, Cultural San 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cesar Vallejo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cesar Vallejo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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