Sport Huancayo 0-2 Alianza Lima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
43%
-7.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+8.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sport Huancayo EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Lima EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.11/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.32
-1% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 76%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
21.8 Crosses 16.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Huancayo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Alianza Lima
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.94 xG 1.22
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
326 Passes 277
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
17.08.2023 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 1-0 HT 0-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
20.03.2023 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 2-1 HT 1-1 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
21.08.2022 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 1-0 HT 0-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
05.06.2022 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 2-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
23.08.2021 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 1-1 HT 1-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
14.04.2021 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Huancayo
0-2
AWAY Alianza Lima
0.26 xG 1.34
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
386 Passes 299
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 8
19 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Lima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Lima saw off Sport Huancayo 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Alianza Lima found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sport Huancayo had 55% of the ball to Alianza Lima's 45%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 0.26 to 1.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sport Huancayo and 0.67 for Alianza Lima.

What was the final score of Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Lima?

Sport Huancayo 0-2 Alianza Lima in the Peru - Premier League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Lima?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Huancayo win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sport Huancayo 36%, draw 28%, Alianza Lima 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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