Cultural San 2-1 Cesar Vallejo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-3.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+2.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.7pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cultural San EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Cesar Vallejo EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -13%
0.71/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.48
-7% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +11%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 71%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.7
28.2 Crosses 12.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cultural San
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Cesar Vallejo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.06 xG 1.17
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 10
9 Corners 8
156 Passes 316
64% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 1-1 HT 1-1 Cultural San Cultural San PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cultural San
2-1
AWAY Cesar Vallejo
0.61 xG 1.93
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
281 Passes 220
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cultural San vs Cesar Vallejo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cultural San edged past Cesar Vallejo 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cultural San as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Cultural San had 55% of the ball to Cesar Vallejo's 45%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 0.61 to 1.93 — the balance of chances actually favoured Cesar Vallejo.

What was the final score of Cultural San vs Cesar Vallejo?

Cultural San 2-1 Cesar Vallejo in the Peru - Premier League on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cultural San vs Cesar Vallejo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cultural San win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Cultural San 54%, draw 25%, Cesar Vallejo 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cultural San), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cultural San) ✓ Over 2.5
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