Arsenal U19 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.68
No
42%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.06
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
20%
3.08
6+ Goals
15%
9.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-7.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.6pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal U19 EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk U19 EU Bookmakers 24%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
1.04/0.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.70
-49% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal U19
0-1
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk U19
66% Ball Possession 34%
5 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Arsenal U19 vs Shakhtar Donetsk U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtar Donetsk U19 edged past Arsenal U19 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Arsenal U19 at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arsenal U19 had 66% of the ball to Shakhtar Donetsk U19's 34%, shots finished 5-5.

What was the final score of Arsenal U19 vs Shakhtar Donetsk U19?

Arsenal U19 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal U19 vs Shakhtar Donetsk U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Arsenal U19 48%, draw 24%, Shakhtar Donetsk U19 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arsenal U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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