Aston Villa U19 3-1 Bologna U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
37%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.59
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.49
No
50%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.75
2-3 Goals
38%
2.04
4-5 Goals
27%
2.61
6+ Goals
12%
6.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
53%
-12.7pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
37%
Away Win
24%
+12.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
63%
-13.2pp
50%
BTTS No
37%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aston Villa U19 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bologna U19 EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aston Villa U19
3-1
AWAY Bologna U19
3.53 xG 0.91
62% Ball Possession 38%
30 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
488 Passes 264
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aston Villa U19 vs Bologna U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aston Villa U19 saw off Bologna U19 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 37% — and on the day Aston Villa U19 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Aston Villa U19 had 62% of the ball to Bologna U19's 38%, shots finished 30-3, expected goals 3.53 to 0.91.

What was the final score of Aston Villa U19 vs Bologna U19?

Aston Villa U19 3-1 Bologna U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aston Villa U19 vs Bologna U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aston Villa U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa U19 40%, draw 23%, Bologna U19 37%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aston Villa U19), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aston Villa U19) ✓ Over 2.5
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