Paris SG U19 3-3 PSV U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 22 Oct 2024

📅22/10/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
22%
4.46
2-3 Goals
49%
1.89
4-5 Goals
22%
2.92
6+ Goals
7%
8.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.46 — our 22% vs market 17.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.5pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.2pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris SG U19 EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV U19 EU Bookmakers 40%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.45/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.00
-7% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +63%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
305 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paris SG U19
3-3
AWAY PSV U19
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Paris SG U19 vs PSV U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris SG U19 and PSV U19 shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Paris SG U19 had 39% of the ball to PSV U19's 61%, shots finished 14-12.

What was the final score of Paris SG U19 vs PSV U19?

Paris SG U19 3-3 PSV U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris SG U19 vs PSV U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paris SG U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Paris SG U19 37%, draw 29%, PSV U19 33%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Paris SG U19) ✗ Under 2.5
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