Plymouth Argyle 2-2 Watford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 22 Nov 2024

Plymouth Argyle
2-2 HT 1-2
Watford
📅22/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Plymouth Argyle vs Watford Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
9.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.52
1/2
8%
24.3
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
14%
6.87
X/2
9%
5.11
X/X
8%
5.08
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
31.0
2/2
21%
2.98
2/X
8%
12.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 31.0 — our 9% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+8.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-5.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.6pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Plymouth Argyle v Watford — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plymouth Argyle EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Watford EU Bookmakers 46%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.05/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.73
+42% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +41%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 78%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
17.9 Crosses 21.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7

Plymouth Argyle vs Watford Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plymouth Argyle
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Watford
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.25 xG 1.68
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
322 Passes 433
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 39
9 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.08.2024 Watford Watford 2-0 HT 1-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNLK
01.01.2024 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 3-3 HT 3-2 Watford Watford İNCL
12.08.2023 Watford Watford 0-0 HT 0-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
10.04.2010 Watford Watford 1-0 HT 0-0 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İNCL
15.09.2009 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 0-1 HT 0-1 Watford Watford İNCL
03.03.2009 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 2-1 HT 1-0 Watford Watford İNCL

Plymouth Argyle 2-2 Watford — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plymouth Argyle
2-2
AWAY Watford
0.44 xG 2.34
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
279 Passes 331
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
9 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Plymouth Argyle vs Watford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plymouth Argyle and Watford shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Plymouth Argyle had 47% of the ball to Watford's 53%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.44 to 2.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Watford led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Plymouth Argyle and 1.33 for Watford.

What was the final score of Plymouth Argyle vs Watford?

Plymouth Argyle 2-2 Watford in the England - Championship on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plymouth Argyle vs Watford?

Before kick-off our model rated a Plymouth Argyle win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Argyle 40%, draw 23%, Watford 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Plymouth Argyle) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Plymouth Argyle) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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