Bayreuth 1-1 Bayern München II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-1.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.0pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayreuth EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern München II EU Bookmakers 39%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.40/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.40
-15% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
370 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.8 Crosses 17.2
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayreuth
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Bayern München II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.37 xG 1.95
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
264 Passes 348
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2024 Bayern München II Bayern München II 4-2 HT 3-1 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
26.11.2023 Bayern München II Bayern München II 4-0 HT 4-0 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
18.08.2023 Bayreuth Bayreuth 1-2 HT 0-2 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
18.04.2022 Bayreuth Bayreuth 4-0 HT 3-0 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
19.10.2021 Bayern München II Bayern München II 1-1 HT 1-0 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
01.05.2015 Bayern München II Bayern München II 5-1 HT 1-0 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Bayreuth vs Bayern München II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayreuth and Bayern München II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern München II led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bayreuth and 2.67 for Bayern München II.

What was the final score of Bayreuth vs Bayern München II?

Bayreuth 1-1 Bayern München II in the Germany - Regional League on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayreuth vs Bayern München II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayreuth win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bayreuth 38%, draw 28%, Bayern München II 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bayreuth), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayreuth) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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