Fortuna Köln 1-3 Wiedenbrück — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
31%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
59%
-14.4pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.6pp
31%
Away Win
19%
+11.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.5pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Köln EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Wiedenbrück EU Bookmakers 22%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.77/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.73
-17% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Köln
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Wiedenbrück
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
10.02.2024 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück 3-1 HT 1-1 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
19.08.2023 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 0-1 HT 0-0 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück ALMBÖL
17.02.2023 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 2-0 HT 0-0 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück ALMBÖL
27.08.2022 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück 0-1 HT 0-1 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
16.04.2022 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 2-3 HT 0-2 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück ALMBÖL
06.11.2021 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück 0-1 HT 0-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Fortuna Köln vs Wiedenbrück
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wiedenbrück saw off Fortuna Köln 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Fortuna Köln at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fortuna Köln and 1.17 for Wiedenbrück.

What was the final score of Fortuna Köln vs Wiedenbrück?

Fortuna Köln 1-3 Wiedenbrück in the Germany - Regional League on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Köln vs Wiedenbrück?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Köln 45%, draw 24%, Wiedenbrück 31%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fortuna Köln) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Köln) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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