Wiedenbrück 3-1 Fortuna Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.5
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
51%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.95
Over 2.5
56%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-0.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
51%
Away Win
49%
+1.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.9pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wiedenbrück EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Köln EU Bookmakers 54%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +2%
1.26/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/0.87
-2% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +35%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wiedenbrück
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Fortuna Köln
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
19.08.2023 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 0-1 HT 0-0 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück ALMBÖL
17.02.2023 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 2-0 HT 0-0 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück ALMBÖL
27.08.2022 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück 0-1 HT 0-1 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
16.04.2022 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 2-3 HT 0-2 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück ALMBÖL
06.11.2021 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück 0-1 HT 0-0 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln ALMBÖL
13.03.2021 Fortuna Köln Fortuna Köln 0-2 HT 0-0 Wiedenbrück Wiedenbrück ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Wiedenbrück vs Fortuna Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wiedenbrück saw off Fortuna Köln 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Fortuna Köln at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wiedenbrück and 1.00 for Fortuna Köln.

What was the final score of Wiedenbrück vs Fortuna Köln?

Wiedenbrück 3-1 Fortuna Köln in the Germany - Regional League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wiedenbrück vs Fortuna Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortuna Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Wiedenbrück 24%, draw 25%, Fortuna Köln 51%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fortuna Köln) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Köln) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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