Rot-Weiss Erfurt 1-0 Berliner AK 07 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 10 Feb 2024

Rot-Weiss Erfurt
1-0 HT 1-0
Berliner AK 07
📅10/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2023/2024

Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Berliner AK 07 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.43
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
66%
-7.4pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.6pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+6.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.0pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rot-Weiss Erfurt v Berliner AK 07 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Berliner AK 07 EU Bookmakers 18%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
2.89/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.08
+35% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
384 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.4

Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Berliner AK 07 Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Berliner AK 07
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
19.08.2023 Berliner AK 07 Berliner AK 07 0-4 HT 0-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
17.02.2023 Berliner AK 07 Berliner AK 07 0-2 HT 0-1 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
26.08.2022 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 0-1 HT 0-1 Berliner AK 07 Berliner AK 07 ALMBÖL
01.09.2019 Berliner AK 07 Berliner AK 07 1-1 HT 1-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Berliner AK 07
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Erfurt nicked a narrow win over Berliner AK 07 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rot-Weiss Erfurt as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Erfurt had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Rot-Weiss Erfurt and 0.50 for Berliner AK 07.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Berliner AK 07?

Rot-Weiss Erfurt 1-0 Berliner AK 07 in the Germany - Regional League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Berliner AK 07?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Erfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Erfurt 58%, draw 20%, Berliner AK 07 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
10 Feb 2024
15:00 Babelsberg vs Greifswalder SV Analysis →
16:00 Paderborn 07 II vs Rot Weiss Ahlen Analysis →
16:00 Alemannia Aachen vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Analysis →
16:00 Schalke 04 II vs Mönchengladbach II Analysis →
16:00 Lippstadt 08 vs Gütersloh Analysis →
16:00 Rödinghausen vs Wuppertaler SV Analysis →