Paderborn 07 II 2-2 Rot Weiss Ahlen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.8pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paderborn 07 II EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot Weiss Ahlen EU Bookmakers 33%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -41%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/3.04
+16% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -48%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paderborn 07 II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Rot Weiss Ahlen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
4 Corners 12
19.08.2023 Rot Weiss Ahlen Rot Weiss Ahlen 1-1 HT 0-1 Paderborn 07 II Paderborn 07 II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Paderborn 07 II vs Rot Weiss Ahlen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paderborn 07 II and Rot Weiss Ahlen shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Paderborn 07 II vs Rot Weiss Ahlen?

Paderborn 07 II 2-2 Rot Weiss Ahlen in the Germany - Regional League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paderborn 07 II vs Rot Weiss Ahlen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paderborn 07 II win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Paderborn 07 II 40%, draw 26%, Rot Weiss Ahlen 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paderborn 07 II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paderborn 07 II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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