Alemannia Aachen 3-1 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.03
Over 2.5
43%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
45%
+11.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
55%
-11.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.1pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alemannia Aachen EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Oberhausen EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / +0%
1.63/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.89
-5% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alemannia Aachen
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.08.2023 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 4-1 HT 4-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen ALMBÖL
26.11.2022 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 3-1 HT 2-1 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen ALMBÖL
22.07.2022 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 2-1 HT 2-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen ALMBÖL
16.03.2022 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 2-1 HT 1-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen ALMBÖL
28.08.2021 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 1-3 HT 0-1 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen ALMBÖL
06.03.2021 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 3-1 HT 2-0 Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alemannia Aachen
3-1
AWAY Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Alemannia Aachen vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alemannia Aachen beat Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Alemannia Aachen found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alemannia Aachen had 42% of the ball to Rot-Weiss Oberhausen's 58%, shots finished 7-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rot-Weiss Oberhausen led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Alemannia Aachen and 2.50 for Rot-Weiss Oberhausen.

What was the final score of Alemannia Aachen vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen?

Alemannia Aachen 3-1 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen in the Germany - Regional League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alemannia Aachen vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alemannia Aachen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alemannia Aachen 38%, draw 28%, Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alemannia Aachen) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alemannia Aachen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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