Babelsberg 0-1 Greifswalder SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 10 Feb 2024

📅10/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-1.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-10.2pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Babelsberg EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Greifswalder SV EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.55/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/0.99
+2% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +41%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
284 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Babelsberg
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Greifswalder SV
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.08.2023 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 1-0 HT 1-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
18.03.2023 Babelsberg Babelsberg 1-2 HT 1-1 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
09.10.2022 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 0-2 HT 0-1 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Babelsberg vs Greifswalder SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greifswalder SV nicked a narrow win over Babelsberg 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; Greifswalder SV found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Greifswalder SV led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Babelsberg and 1.00 for Greifswalder SV.

What was the final score of Babelsberg vs Greifswalder SV?

Babelsberg 0-1 Greifswalder SV in the Germany - Regional League on 10/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Babelsberg vs Greifswalder SV?

Before kick-off our model rated an Greifswalder SV win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Babelsberg 36%, draw 25%, Greifswalder SV 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greifswalder SV), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Greifswalder SV) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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