Bayern München II 4-2 Bayreuth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-12.2pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern München II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayreuth EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.25/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/1.28
-23% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.3 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern München II
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Bayreuth
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.75 xG 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
379 Passes 263
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
13 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 5
26.11.2023 Bayern München II Bayern München II 4-0 HT 4-0 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
18.08.2023 Bayreuth Bayreuth 1-2 HT 0-2 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
18.04.2022 Bayreuth Bayreuth 4-0 HT 3-0 Bayern München II Bayern München II ALMBÖL
19.10.2021 Bayern München II Bayern München II 1-1 HT 1-0 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
01.05.2015 Bayern München II Bayern München II 5-1 HT 1-0 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern München II
4-2
AWAY Bayreuth
2.74 xG 2.19
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
224 Passes 269
70% Pass Accuracy 71%
13 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bayern München II vs Bayreuth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München II got the better of Bayreuth 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bayern München II as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Bayern München II had 46% of the ball to Bayreuth's 54%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 2.74 to 2.19.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bayern München II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Bayern München II and 1.40 for Bayreuth.

What was the final score of Bayern München II vs Bayreuth?

Bayern München II 4-2 Bayreuth in the Germany - Regional League on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern München II vs Bayreuth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern München II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bayern München II 45%, draw 23%, Bayreuth 32%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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