Independiente vs Gimnasia La Plata Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente v Gimnasia La Plata — Team-Based Signals
Independiente vs Gimnasia La Plata Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Independiente
ARJ
1-1
HT 0-0
Independiente
ARJ
3-1
HT 1-1
Independiente
ARJ
1-1
HT 1-1
Gimnasia La Plata
ARJ
1-0
HT 0-0
Gimnasia La Plata
ARJ
Independiente 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente nicked a narrow win over Gimnasia La Plata 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Independiente as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.
On the day, Independiente had 47% of the ball to Gimnasia La Plata's 53%, shots finished 25-4, expected goals 1.60 to 0.09 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Independiente's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Independiente and 1.17 for Gimnasia La Plata.
What was the final score of Independiente vs Gimnasia La Plata?
Independiente 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata in the Argentina - Premier League on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente vs Gimnasia La Plata?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Independiente 43%, draw 29%, Gimnasia La Plata 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.