Monaco vs Brest Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monaco v Brest — Team-Based Signals
Monaco vs Brest Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Brest
FR1
1-2
HT 0-1
Monaco
FR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Brest
FR1
4-2
HT 1-2
Brest
FR1
2-0
HT 1-0
Monaco
FR1
Monaco 3-2 Brest — Actual Match Statistics
Monaco edged past Brest 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Monaco as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Monaco had 52% of the ball to Brest's 48%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 2.70 to 1.04 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Monaco's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monaco had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Monaco and 0.83 for Brest.
What was the final score of Monaco vs Brest?
Monaco 3-2 Brest in the France - Ligue 1 on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monaco vs Brest?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Monaco 51%, draw 24%, Brest 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monaco) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.