PSG vs Toulouse Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PSG v Toulouse — Team-Based Signals
PSG vs Toulouse Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
PSG
FR1
2-1
HT 1-1
Toulouse
FR1
0-3
HT 0-1
PSG
FR1
4-0
HT 0-0
Toulouse
FR1
PSG 3-0 Toulouse — Actual Match Statistics
PSG swept aside Toulouse 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had PSG as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.
On the day, PSG had 73% of the ball to Toulouse's 27%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.16 to 1.42.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSG had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for PSG and 0.83 for Toulouse.
What was the final score of PSG vs Toulouse?
PSG 3-0 Toulouse in the France - Ligue 1 on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for PSG vs Toulouse?
Before kick-off our model rated a PSG win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split PSG 52%, draw 23%, Toulouse 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.