Brest 0-2 Monaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 21 Apr 2024

Brest
0-2 HT 0-1
Monaco
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒18:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Brest vs Monaco Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.68
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.29
6+ Goals
14%
11.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.61
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
8%
12.55
X/1
20%
5.62
X/2
10%
5.73
X/X
8%
4.76
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
27.5
2/2
15%
3.71
2/X
10%
12.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 8% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+5.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-4.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.8pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brest v Monaco — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brest EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Monaco EU Bookmakers 39%
+9% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +20%
1.35/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.48
-8% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
23.8 Crosses 16.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4

Brest vs Monaco Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brest
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Monaco
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.07 xG 1.58
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
306 Passes 431
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.11.2023 Monaco Monaco 2-0 HT 1-0 Brest Brest FR1
19.02.2023 Brest Brest 1-2 HT 0-1 Monaco Monaco FR1
01.01.2023 Monaco Monaco 1-0 HT 0-0 Brest Brest FR1
14.05.2022 Monaco Monaco 4-2 HT 1-2 Brest Brest FR1
31.10.2021 Brest Brest 2-0 HT 1-0 Monaco Monaco FR1
28.02.2021 Monaco Monaco 2-0 HT 0-0 Brest Brest FR1

Brest 0-2 Monaco — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brest
0-2
AWAY Monaco
0.65 xG 0.90
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
387 Passes 268
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brest vs Monaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monaco got the better of Brest 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Brest at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brest had 56% of the ball to Monaco's 44%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.65 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monaco led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Brest and 1.83 for Monaco.

What was the final score of Brest vs Monaco?

Brest 0-2 Monaco in the France - Ligue 1 on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brest vs Monaco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Brest 43%, draw 26%, Monaco 31%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Brest) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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