Le Havre 0-1 Metz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 21 Apr 2024

Le Havre
0-1 HT 0-0
Metz
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Le Havre vs Metz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.35
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.14
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.1
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
16%
4.47
X/2
9%
6.72
X/X
15%
3.68
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
12%
5.54
2/X
8%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-1.7pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.2pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Le Havre v Metz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Havre EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Metz EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +21%
0.99/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.51
-34% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
– Crosses 16.1
– Yellow Cards 1.8

Le Havre vs Metz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Havre
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Metz
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.85 xG 0.98
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
318 Passes 348
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Metz Metz 0-0 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
13.03.2023 Metz Metz 1-1 HT 1-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
24.10.2022 Le Havre Le Havre 2-0 HT 1-0 Metz Metz FR2
04.03.2019 Le Havre Le Havre 2-2 HT 1-0 Metz Metz FR2
29.09.2018 Metz Metz 0-1 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
13.02.2016 Metz Metz 0-1 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR2

Le Havre 0-1 Metz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Havre
0-1
AWAY Metz
0.68 xG 1.34
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
401 Passes 196
79% Pass Accuracy 69%
18 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Le Havre vs Metz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metz edged past Le Havre 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Le Havre at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Le Havre had 64% of the ball to Metz's 36%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 0.68 to 1.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Le Havre had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Le Havre and 0.50 for Metz.

What was the final score of Le Havre vs Metz?

Le Havre 0-1 Metz in the France - Ligue 1 on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Havre vs Metz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Le Havre win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Le Havre 41%, draw 31%, Metz 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Le Havre) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Le Havre) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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