Lille 1-0 RC Strasbourg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 21 Apr 2024

Lille
1-0 HT 1-0
RC Strasbourg
📅21/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Lille vs RC Strasbourg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.2
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.67
6+ Goals
10%
15.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.02
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.1
X/1
12%
3.71
X/2
10%
10.9
X/X
10%
5.07
2/1
9%
24.45
2/2
10%
8.96
2/X
7%
17.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
58%
-8.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.2pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lille v RC Strasbourg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lille EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Strasbourg EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
2.05/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.47
-3% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
393 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
19.0 Crosses 15.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7

Lille vs RC Strasbourg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lille
4W-1D-1L
AWAY RC Strasbourg
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.61 xG 0.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
454 Passes 277
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.12.2023 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 2-1 HT 1-1 Lille Lille FR1
12.02.2023 Lille Lille 2-0 HT 2-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
14.10.2022 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 0-3 HT 0-1 Lille Lille FR1
24.04.2022 Lille Lille 1-0 HT 0-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
25.09.2021 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-2 HT 0-1 Lille Lille FR1
28.02.2021 Lille Lille 1-1 HT 0-1 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1

Lille 1-0 RC Strasbourg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lille
1-0
AWAY RC Strasbourg
0.79 xG 1.27
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
419 Passes 366
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 11
9 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lille vs RC Strasbourg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lille squeezed past RC Strasbourg 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lille as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Lille had 53% of the ball to RC Strasbourg's 47%, shots finished 6-8, expected goals 0.79 to 1.27 — the balance of chances actually favoured RC Strasbourg.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lille had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lille and 0.67 for RC Strasbourg.

What was the final score of Lille vs RC Strasbourg?

Lille 1-0 RC Strasbourg in the France - Ligue 1 on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lille vs RC Strasbourg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lille win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Lille 50%, draw 25%, RC Strasbourg 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lille), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lille) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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