Al Ahly 1-1 Sakandary — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
21%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.68
Over 2.5
42%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.53
No
65%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.74
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
4.36
6+ Goals
10%
22.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 34% vs market 30.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
68%
-13.5pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.5pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+10.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.9pp
35%
BTTS Yes
36%
-0.9pp
65%
BTTS No
64%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Sakandary EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.75/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.68
+30% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
377 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 74%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
18.7 Crosses 16.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahly
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Sakandary
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
2.13 xG 0.82
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
442 Passes 264
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.06.2024 Sakandary Sakandary 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
07.05.2024 Al Ahly Al Ahly 4-1 HT 3-0 Sakandary Sakandary MSR
08.07.2023 Sakandary Sakandary 0-2 HT 0-2 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
12.12.2022 Al Ahly Al Ahly 3-0 HT 2-0 Sakandary Sakandary MSR
07.08.2022 Sakandary Sakandary 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
06.04.2022 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-0 HT 1-0 Sakandary Sakandary MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahly
1-1
AWAY Sakandary
3.52 xG 0.22
65% Ball Possession 35%
26 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
382 Passes 163
84% Pass Accuracy 69%
46 Box Touches 5
11 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Ahly vs Sakandary
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly and Sakandary shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Ahly at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.

On the day, Al Ahly had 65% of the ball to Sakandary's 35%, shots finished 26-4, expected goals 3.52 to 0.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Al Ahly and 0.17 for Sakandary.

What was the final score of Al Ahly vs Sakandary?

Al Ahly 1-1 Sakandary in the Egypt - Premier League on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahly vs Sakandary?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Al Ahly 55%, draw 24%, Sakandary 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Ahly), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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