Weston-super-Mare 1-2 Dover Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 22 Nov 2025

📅22/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
55%
1.57
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.95
Over
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.84
No
50%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.36
2-3
34%
1.77
4-5
26%
3.29
6+
11%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.36 — our 29% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Weston-super-Mare The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Dover Athletic The Market 21%
Bad Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Great
2.04 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.11
1.05 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.45
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Average
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Strong
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weston-super-Mare
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Dover Athletic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2024 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 1-0 HT 0-0 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic İCON
25.11.2023 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic 0-1 HT 0-1 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Weston-super-Mare
1-2
AWAY Dover Athletic
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Weston-super-Mare vs Dover Athletic
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Dover Athletic came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Weston-super-Mare 2-1 on the road. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our model won't enjoy this one — Weston-super-Mare at 55% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. Small consolation: at 1.57 (roughly 64%) the price was further off than we were.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 50%, coin-flips both.

By the numbers, Weston-super-Mare had 59% of the ball to Dover Athletic's 41%, shots finished 12-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Weston-super-Mare had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Weston-super-Mare and 0.00 for Dover Athletic.

Weston-super-Mare vs Dover Athletic Result & Final Score

Weston-super-Mare 1-2 Dover Athletic in the England - Conference on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Weston-super-Mare vs Dover Athletic Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Weston-super-Mare win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Weston-super-Mare 55%, draw 19%, Dover Athletic 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Weston-super-Mare)
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