Weston-super-Mare 1-0 Dover Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.18
Over Pick
54%
1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.74
No
46%
1.97
Total Goals
0-1
21%
4.24
2-3
39%
1.87
4-5
26%
3.01
6+
14%
9.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Weston-super-Mare The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Dover Athletic The Market 20%
Bad Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
2.00 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.05
3.00 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 2.02
Average Attackvs comparable teams Average
Bad Defensevs comparable teams Weak
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
463 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weston-super-Mare
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Dover Athletic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
4 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
25.11.2023 Dover Athletic Dover Athletic 0-1 HT 0-1 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Weston-super-Mare
1-0
AWAY Dover Athletic
64% Ball Possession 36%
25 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Weston-super-Mare vs Dover Athletic
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Weston-super-Mare edged past Dover Athletic 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Weston-super-Mare as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 54% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both. At 1.65 (~61%), the over-2.5 price was shorter than our number — the market leaned harder than we did.

Under the surface, possession split 64% to 36% in Weston-super-Mare's favour, shots finished 25-8.

Weston-super-Mare vs Dover Athletic Result & Final Score

Weston-super-Mare 1-0 Dover Athletic in the England - Conference on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Weston-super-Mare vs Dover Athletic Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Weston-super-Mare win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Weston-super-Mare 51%, draw 28%, Dover Athletic 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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