Notts County vs Colchester Prediction — Model Probabilities
Notts County v Colchester — Team-Based Signals
Notts County vs Colchester Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Notts County 1-3 Colchester — Actual Match Statistics
Colchester put daylight between themselves and Notts County 3-1 on their travels. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
We leaned Notts County at 42% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.
The match data tells the story: Notts County had 69% of the ball to Colchester's 31%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.78 to 1.04 — on chances, Notts County could feel hard done by.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colchester led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Notts County and 1.83 for Colchester.
Notts County vs Colchester Result & Final Score
Notts County 1 - 3 Colchester in the England - 2nd Division on 22/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Notts County vs Colchester Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Notts County win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Notts County 42%, draw 28%, Colchester 30%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Notts County), Under 2.5 went the other way.